News5050 – Market Report
January 14, 2018
In 2017, South Africa will generate total telecom service revenue of $10.2bn. Going forward, we expect the telecom service revenue in South Africa to decline at a CAGR of -3.6% in USD during 2016-2022. However, in local currency, the revenue will expand by 4.6%, reflecting currency depreciation. This growth will come from a steady rise in adoption of mobile and fixed broadband services. Mobile voice will remain the largest revenue-contributing segment in 2017. Mobile data will grow at a CAGR of 0.7% during 2017-2022, driven by rapid growth of smartphones and growing adopton of LTE/LTE-A services. Going forward, operators will focus on investments in LTE and fiber-optic network expansions to increase broadband penetration in the country.
The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following –
– Demographic and macroeconomic context in South Africa.
– The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, tariff regulation and more.
– Telecom services market outlook: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data and pay-TV markets.
– The competitive landscape: an examination of the positioning of leading players in terms of revenue market shares across segments in the telecom services market.
– Company snapshots: analysis of the financial position of leading service providers in the telecommunications markets.
– Underlying assumptions behind our published base-case forecasts, as well as potential market developments that would alter, either positively or negatively, our base-case outlook.
– Mobile revenue will account for 76.6% of the total telecom revenue in 2022, driven by a projected rise in adoption of LTE/LTE-A services.
– 3G will be the leading mobile technology segment by subscriptions over 2018-2022. Increasing demand for faster data services and LTE network expansion will drive 4G subscriber growth over the forecast period.
– The top three mobile operators, Vodacom South Africa, MTN South Africa and CELL C, will account for 94.2% share of overall mobile subscriptions in 2017. Operators will continue to focus on network investments and coverage expansion, fiber deployments and appealing prepaid and postpaid plus value-added services offerings to acquire customers and drive telecom market revenue.
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